Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002577 0.002737 0.002910 0.003111 0.003339 0.003594 0.003901
2025-05-04 0.002404 0.002633 0.002894 0.003219 0.003622 0.004114 0.004783
2025-05-11 0.002234 0.002499 0.002813 0.003226 0.003770 0.004492 0.005586
2025-05-18 0.002151 0.002450 0.002820 0.003330 0.004047 0.005087 0.006878
2025-05-25 0.002035 0.002347 0.002743 0.003307 0.004140 0.005432 0.007925
2025-06-01 0.001924 0.002238 0.002645 0.003239 0.004150 0.005644 0.008830
2025-06-08 0.001879 0.002211 0.002652 0.003317 0.004389 0.006298 0.011091
2025-06-15 0.001831 0.002175 0.002641 0.003365 0.004586 0.006936 0.013998
2025-06-22 0.001759 0.002101 0.002570 0.003312 0.004600 0.007210 0.016193
2025-06-29 0.001691 0.002028 0.002495 0.003245 0.004577 0.007398 0.018438
2025-07-06 0.001634 0.001969 0.002437 0.003199 0.004584 0.007657 0.021688
2025-07-13 0.001549 0.001866 0.002308 0.003028 0.004337 0.007231 0.020340
2025-07-20 0.001512 0.001831 0.002282 0.003030 0.004434 0.007746 0.027050
2025-07-27 0.001497 0.001827 0.002303 0.003114 0.004708 0.008891 0.052557
2025-08-03 0.001463 0.001794 0.002276 0.003111 0.004807 0.009586 0.109797
2025-08-10 0.001453 0.001795 0.002302 0.003205 0.005135 0.011347 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001418 0.001758 0.002266 0.003183 0.005191 0.012122 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001377 0.001711 0.002210 0.003119 0.005138 0.012388 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001367 0.001708 0.002226 0.003191 0.005439 0.014798 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001351 0.001697 0.002228 0.003236 0.005681 0.017442 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001319 0.001659 0.002184 0.003187 0.005655 0.018208 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001286 0.001619 0.002135 0.003124 0.005582 0.018554 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001258 0.001587 0.002097 0.003081 0.005558 0.019366 NaN